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Published: 2026-09-20 • Permanent link

Fears of a rare earths shortage have been growing in recent weeks, with many experts warning of a potential crisis. The market is on high alert ahead of the Trump-Xi summit, where the two leaders are set to discuss trade tensions and the global economy. Rafael Moreno, head of mining company Rare Earth Brazil, has expressed concerns about the market's nervousness, citing a shortage of 40% in the key element. The shortage has already led to price hikes, with some analysts predicting a further 20% increase in the coming months.

The impact of a rare earths shortage will be felt far beyond the mining industry. Many high-tech companies, including those in the automotive and renewable energy sectors, rely heavily on these elements for their products. A shortage could lead to delays and increased costs for these companies, which in turn could have a ripple effect on the broader economy. Investors are also taking notice, with some analysts warning of a potential downturn in the global economy if the shortage is not addressed.

Rare earths have been a contentious issue for many years, with China's dominance of the market leading to concerns about supply security. The country's strict controls on exports have led to a shortage of the key elements, which are used in everything from smartphones to wind turbines. According to industry experts, the shortage is not just a matter of supply and demand, but also a result of China's efforts to diversify its economy and reduce its reliance on rare earths exports.

The Trump-Xi summit provides a crucial opportunity for the two leaders to address the issue of rare earths and find a solution to the shortage. What will drive this discussion? Will the two leaders be able to find a mutually beneficial agreement, or will the shortage continue to plague the global economy? With the stakes high, the outcome of the summit will be closely watched by investors, companies, and consumers around the world.